I found how to estimate the historical Variance Decomposition for VAR models in R in the below link
Historical Variance Error Decompotision Daniel Ryback
Daniel Ryback presents the result in an excel plot, but I wanted to prepare it with ggplot so I created some lines to get it, nevertheless, the plot I got in ggplot is very different to the one showed by Daniel in Excel. I replicated in excel and got the same result than Daniel so it seems there is an error in the way I am preparing the ggplot. Does anyone have a suggestion to arrive to the excel result?
See below my code
library(vars)
library(ggplot2)
library(reshape2)
data(Canada)
ab<-VAR(Canada, p = 2, type = "both")
HD <- VARhd(Estimation=ab)
HD[,,1]
ex <- HD[,,1]
ex1 <- as.data.frame(ex) # transforming the HD matrix as data frame #
ex2 <- ex1[3:84,1:4] # taking our the first 2 rows as they are N/As #
colnames(ex2) <- c("Emplyment", "Productivity", "Real Wages", "Unemplyment") # renaming columns #
ex2$Period <- 1:nrow(ex2) # creating an id column #
col_id <- grep("Period", names(ex2)) # setting the new variable as id #
ex3 <- ex2[, c(col_id, (1:ncol(ex2))[-col_id])] # moving id variable to the first column #
molten.ex <- melt(ex3, id = "Period") # melting the data frame #
ggplot(molten.ex, aes(x = Period, y = value, fill = variable)) +
geom_bar(stat = "identity") +
guides(fill = guide_legend(reverse = TRUE))
ggplot version
Excel version
The difference is that ggplot2
is ordering the variable
factor and plotting it in a different order than excel. If you reorder the factor before plotting it will put 'unemployment' at the bottom and 'employment' at the top, as in excel:
molten.ex$variable <- factor(molten.ex$variable, levels = c("Unemployment",
"Real Wages",
"Productivity",
"Employment"))
ggplot(molten.ex, aes(x = Period, y = value, fill = variable)) +
geom_bar(stat = "identity", width = 0.6) +
guides(fill = guide_legend(reverse = TRUE)) +
# Making the R plot look more like excel for comparison...
scale_y_continuous(limits = c(-6,8), breaks = seq(-6,8, by = 2)) +
scale_fill_manual(name = NULL,
values = c(Unemployment = "#FFc000", # yellow
`Real Wages` = "#A4A4A4", # grey
Productivity = "#EC7C30", # orange
Employment = "#5E99CE")) + # blue
theme(rect = element_blank(),
panel.grid.major.y = element_line(colour = "#DADADA"),
legend.position = "bottom",
axis.ticks = element_blank(),
axis.title = element_blank(),
legend.key.size = unit(3, "mm"))
Giving:
To roughly match the excel graph in Daniel Ryback's post:
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